钢筋炉罐号:Who Could be Behind the Mumbai Blasts?

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Who Could be Behind the Mumbai Blasts?


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Three bombs rocked crowded districts of Mumbai during rush hour on Wednesday, killing at least 21 people in the biggest militant attack on India’s financial capital since 2008 assaults.


No one has claimed responsibility. Security analysts say the pattern of the attack points to a local militant group called the Indian Mujahideen (IM).


A remote possibility is the Pakistan-based separatist group Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), known for its sympathies for Al Qaeda and blamed for the 2008 Mumbai attacks that killed 166 people.



Related: Mumbai torn and Bleeding---Serial Bombings, Again


Who could be behind the Mumbai blasts? Answers differ - Underworld, Pak separatist group, Indian Muhahideen, extremists, or peacetalk interrupter. And maybe, still others -



According to Times of India, there is high possibility that the underworld is behind the strikes as they have been extremely active during past weeks in Mumbai.


Speculation is  rife that the Mumbai underworld could be behind these blasts, in the light of the killing of journalist J. Dey, as well as the killing of Dawood Ibrahim's brother. 13 July is also observed as Kashmir Martyr's day, and there could be a possibility that the attacks were carried out by Kashmiri groups.



But it also suspected that it could be Pakistan-based separatist group Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) -

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Pakistan-based separatist group Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT)

The “army of the pure” is one of the largest militant groups in South Asia but has not been operating recently.


Once nurtured by Pakistan’s military to fight India in Kashmir, it is now under a tight leash since the 2008 Mumbai attacks, for fear of a new attack that would invite retribution on Pakistan.


The group claimed responsibility for the attack on an army base in New Delhi’s historic Red Fort which killed three people in late 2000 and for an assault on India’s parliament in 2001 that brought India and Pakistan to the brink of a fourth war.


In 2005, it was blamed for bomb attacks on markets in New Delhi that killed more than 60 people.


The United States has designated the LeT as a “foreign terrorist organization”. Pakistan banned it in 2002, but critics say it long operated openly under different names.


Still there is strong association with the "Indian Mujahideen" --


The NIA was investigating the possible involvement of Indian Mujahideen and the Lashkar-e-Taiba in the blasts.


There was speculation that the pattern of the blasts suggested involvement of Indian Mujahideen. According to the Special cell of the Delhi Police, Indian Mujahideen has been conducting blasts on the 13th or 26th of a month. The 2008 Ahmedabad bombings took place on 26 July 2008; the Delhi serial blasts occurred on 13 September 2008; Mumbai terror attacks happened on 26 November in 2008, followed by the German bakery blast in Pune on 13 February 2010.



Who are Indian Mujahideen ?

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The Indian Mujahideen is described by global intelligence firm Stratfor as “a relatively amateurish group that’s been able to carry out low to medium intensity attacks.”


The group is suspected of having been trained and backed by militant groups in neighbouring Pakistan and Bangladesh.


The group first emerged during a wave of bombings in north India in 2007. They have since claimed responsibility for bomb attacks in the cities of Jaipur, Bangalore, Ahmedabad and New Delhi.


The last attack they claimed was in 2010 in the western city of Pune, where a bomb blast at a tourist spot killed nine people.


Police say the Indian Mujahideen may also include former members of Bangladeshi militant group Harkat-ul-Jihad al Islami.


The demands of the Indian Mujahideen, like their targets, have tended to be domestic. The group has declared “open war against India”.


The NY Times - preliminary evidence shows  that blasts are associated with Indian extremists, rather than Pakistan LASHKAR-E-TAIBA. But he also stressed that it is too early to have the conclusion in the investigating stage.


While India has blamed militant groups in Pakistan or home- grown Islamic outfits for most of the attacks, investigators have charged Hindu activists for their involvement in the 2007 bombing of a Pakistan-bound train service that killed 68 people, an attack earlier blamed on Muslim extremists.


WHY MUMBAI? WHY NOW?

India has long been under the threat of militant attacks by a variety of groups ranging from separatists in the northeast to nationalists but there is a possibility the latest strike could be aimed at scuttling fledgling attempts to revive the peace process between New Delhi and Islamabad.


There is also a view that the attacks could have been plotted by those trying to derail the Indo-Pakistani peace process.


India and Pakistan have recently begun talks that were frozen after the 2008 Mumbai attacks and some of the progress has surprised observers.


But an attack linked to Pakistan will almost certainly put pressure on India to pull out of talks and take a hardline stance.




Times of India/Guardian/Daily News and Analysis/NYTimes/The Hindu