长沙马王堆博物馆:The Gap Between PLA Navy and US Navy? 15 Year...

来源：百度文库 编辑：九乡新闻网 时间：2024/04/27 13:46:31

The Gap Between PLA Navy and US Navy? 15 Years At Least.

In the perception of Franz-Stefan Gady, a security affair expert in East-West Institute (NY), the maritime dispute on the China side in the Asia Pacific Ocean is a "great gambling party". For him, Beijing's military power has been overestimated.



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2011-8-2 13:52


Below is the excerpt from the interview -


Q: China has announced to break the First Island Chain and expand its activities further. What do you think is the strategic interests hidden behind?


A: Two focuses - First Island Chain and South China Sea dispute -  are the strategic restrains for Beijing. In the first place, China's action has been limited by Taiwan. As early as 1950s, US Gen. McArthur claimed that Taiwan is the unsunken aircraft carrier own by US - in terms of containing China. At the time being, the Beijing's naval ambition is nothing but a wishful thinking - China is unable to shift its power to outside the First Island Chain, nor does it has according training. Rather, they are more concentrating on preventing external power breaking into China's claimed waters.



Q: It is said that China at the moment has the second largest navy in the world.


A: Yes, but statistically. However, most of Chinese vessels are out-dated and poorly trained. There isn't any aircraft in service so far - which would harm the core battle effectiveness in the future.



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US Navy power


Q: For how long do you think the PLA navy can catch up pace with the US navy?

A: 15 years at least.


Q: Your evaluation of the possible war risks?

A: As for the South China Sea dispute, US is the elephant in the China store, especially when Vietnam and Phillippine are trying to pull US down into this conflict. In contrast, China is paying effort to stop the elephant. So that's why I called it a great gambling party - every player is bluffing rather than launching a real war.



Franz-Stefan Gady is an associate at the EastWest Institute. He has previously worked as an adjunct research assistant at the Institute for National Strategies Studies of the National Defense University in Washington, D.C., focusing on regional security issues. He was also an analyst for the Project on National Security Reform, a congressionally funded nonprofit organization founded to reform the national security structure of the United States. He has served in the Austrian Army and the Austrian Foreign Ministry, working on various security issues.
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