郝红卫教授:Will Philippines meet China force-with-force?...

来源：百度文库 编辑：九乡新闻网 时间：2024/04/26 09:01:54

Will Philippines meet China force-with-force?




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2011-6-17 08:42


Should a shooting war break out over the disputed Spratly/Nansha Islands, China could easily achieve air and sea superiority due to the increased focus Beijing has given to improving its force projection capabilities in the South China Sea.


According to documents obtained by News5, China gradually developed its facilities on Woody Island in the Paracel/Xisha Islands – making it an unsinkable aircraft carrier. The runway on Woody Island has been extended and hangars and fuel depots have been constructed, which enable China to base and deploy its latest generation of multi-role fighters.


From Woody Island, China will have no problem sending its warplanes to the Nansha Islands as this is well within the operational radius of its fighters. China’s multi-role fighters can reach as far Metro Manila.


Apart from the unsinkable aircraft carrier, China is scheduled to start sea trials of its first aircraft carrier, the Shi Lang.


Apart from China and the Philippines, the other claimants of the Nansha Islands are Brunei, Malaysia, and Vietnam. The Paracel/Xisha Islands are being disputed by China and Vietnam.


Meanwhile, Defense Secretary Voltaire Gazmin said defense modernization remains one of the priorities of the Aquino administration but stresses that they cannot just go on a shopping spree. In an interview with News5, the defense secretary admitted that internal security still had top priority even if the peace talks are ongoing with the communist insurgents and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front.


Gazmin said they have adopted the process which they termed the “Defense System of Management.” He explained they are balancing the needs and requirements with the government’s capability to fund these.


“Our number 1 problem is the internal security operations,” Gazmin told News5 in an interview prior to the reports of Chinese intrusions. “The equipment needed to address internal security operations are a priority.”


“We do not need jets, we need helicopters, transports ... with endurance in air. In the navy, you don’t need blue water equipment – what you need is for island, transport and for use in flood and earthquake,” he added.


But Gazmin said this doesn’t mean they are giving up on modernization.


Documents obtained by News5 show that China is estimated to have stationed eight aircraft variants on Woody Island, whose capabilities range from multi-role to air superiority to ground attack. The warplanes – which include the Sukhoi-27 fighter-bomber and J-7 close support aircraft, which is China’s version of the Russian MIG21 – have no trouble reaching the Nansha as the disputed area is well within their operational radius.


However, one warplane can cover the whole island of Luzon, including Metro Manila.


Aside from Woody Island, China can also deploy its fighters from two other bases: Lingshui Airfield on Hainan Island and from Guanzhou. Also located on Hainan Island is a Chinese naval base, from where submarines can be deployed into the South China Sea.


China is nearing completion of its first true aircraft carrier, with sea trials scheduled in the coming months named Varyag. Unlike US aircraft carriers, the Shi Lang will not be equipped with steam catapults but with a ski jump to launch its planes. The Shi Lang will be equipped with 30 Sukhoi-33 carrier borne multi-role fighter as well as with anti-submarine warfare helicopters.


A 2010 US Defense Department report to the US Congress said China has begun training 50 pilots to operate fixed wing aircraft from an aircraft carrier. The same report said China’s buildup in the South China Sea “are related to securing its extensive sovereignty claims in the region as they relate to exploiting regional natural resources.”


The report also highlighted: “Such an increased presence including surface, sub-surface and airborne platforms, and possibly one or more of China’s future aircraft carriers, would provide the PLA with an enhanced extended range power projection capability and could alter regional balances, disrupting the delicate status quo established by the 2002 Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea.” (Philippine Star)
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