贵州铜仁印江2016图:Unfathomable Moscow Politics - Focus discussion - People Forum

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Unfathomable Moscow Politics

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Now that Dmitry Medvedev is president, will he sacrifice his ambitions for the man who brought him to Moscow?

Putin and protege at odds on Russia's future

Winston Churchill  is said to have compared Russian politics to watching dogs fighting under a carpet, but even that sometimes fails to convey the impenetrability of machinations in Moscow.


How confusing is the description about Putin-Medvedeve tandem competition.


With less than a year to go until presidential elections, it is still unclear whether Dmitry Medvedev will run for a second term or allow his mentor, Vladimir Putin, to return to the top job, after constitutional limits forced Putin to swap the Kremlin for a spell in the prime minister’s office.

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Both men have suggested they will not engage in an unseemly scrap at the ballot box, but instead decide privately which of them is best suited to lead Russia, a country with huge energy resources and great potential in other areas, but encumbered by corruption, inefficiency, outdated institutions and infrastructure, and bloody unrest in the Caucasus.


But as the election nears, neither man seems inclined to give way, competing cliques are ramping up rhetoric in support of their favoured leader, and Kremlin-watchers are starting to wonder whether Medvedev is enjoying power too much to step aside for an old boss.


Those who spy a split in the ruling “tandem” note how Medvedev rebuked Putin for likening the West’s intervention in Libya to a “medieval crusade”, and then ordered several of Putin’s ministers and close allies to leave the boards of some of Russia’s biggest state companies.


Both leaders deny the existence of any rift, however, and some experts look at the writhing Russian carpet and ask not which dog is winning the scrap, but whether they are really fighting or only playing under there, or perhaps play-fighting for the greater befuddlement of their audience. Both men want gradual change, such commentators argue, and fear above all a war among the elite.


Who to elect?


Who to elect, Putin or Medvedev? The question is the top hottest in current Russia, in blogsphere it easily touches the folks’ nerves. In such circumstances,  each “trivial action” will receive extensive interpretations --

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For example that Russian President Dmitry Medvedev busts a few less-than-flattering moves on the dance floor in an amateur clip that has become a YouTube smash.


In the 30-second video posted Tuesday, Medvedev "somewhat awkwardly wiggles his hips and kicks up his heels with other party guests" to the tune of the 1990s dance-pop hit "American Boy"


"It looks like Medvedev's swallowed a stick," one viewer reportedly commented.


The clip comes just days after Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin showed off considerably more polished talents. Said to be mulling a possible run for Medvedev's job in the 2012 presidential race, Putin took part in an ice hockey training session with two teenage teams over the weekend.

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Moreover, according to the Moscow Times report on April 21, in the 4-hour address by Putin on April 20, Medvedev was only “by the way” mentioned  twice.


Could Putin and Medvedev face off in an open Russian election?


What if they faced off against each other in an open and fair election? - As the political differences between Prime Minister Vladimir Putin and President Dmitry Medvedev widen into a visible public rift, and each continues to insist on the wish to run for president in polls next year, some Russians are mulling a prospect that sounded like a fantasy just a few weeks ago.


"There are a number of voices now, both from liberal and conservative camps, that maintain it would be best to break with [the Putin system] and let the voters decide between them," says Alexei Pushkov, anchor of Post Scriptum, Russia's most popular TV public affairs program.


The idea of weaning Russia from its addiction to autocratic governance has a long history, but attempts have never been successful. The brief multiparty interlude that followed the abdication of the last czar in 1917 was soon swept away by a Bolshevik tide that lasted more than 70 years. Attempts to build a democratic system in the 1990s foundered amid economic chaos and social breakdown.

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To many, Putin equals stability.


"The nation needs decades of stable and calm development without any sharp movements and ill-conceived experiments," Putin said in the 4-hour address. "If the state and the nation are weak, a lack of immunity to outside shocks inevitably become a threat for national sovereignty.... In the modern world, those who are weak will get unambiguous advice from foreign visitors which way to go and what policy course to pursue."

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Medvedev has urged a course of "modernization," which would include greater openness to the West, investment in high tech industries and modest political reform. It's not a message that plays well in Russia's vast, conservative hinterland, or among the wealthy oligarchs who make their fortunes extracting and exporting raw materials.





Christian Science Monitor/Moscow Times/Irish Times/Huffington Post/Reuters
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